I agree that the hispanic vote will be a sizable prize however if you recall; Senator Obama did NOT win the Puerto Rico primary even when it was clear that Senator Clinton would NOT win the nomination.

I think that this is going to be a problem. One of many I suspect.

Overall, the vote that will decide the election will be the moderate middle class. Before, I would have argued that it would largely depend on the evangelical turn out for McCain, but now that he has picked Palin for VP, I have no doubt those votes will come for him.
Now it will strickly be up to the women voters. They are the single largest voting block in the country. If enough of them stay home or vote for McCain after being alienated by Obama twice, the election will be McCains. If enough women forgive and forget, they'll come out and vote Obama to the White House.

This election is a Change Election, Obamas been right about that, but how well can he depict the anger Americans are feeling? If he convinces the middle class he feels their pain and knows what they're going through, he will win.

As for the hispanic vote, states like New Mexico and Nevada are not going to decide this election. Not to down play the importance of Hispanic voters, its just that other states have more electoral votes.

As far as states go, the one state we should ALL be looking at, is New Hampshire. That itty bitty state on the northern east coast will be the swing state that might decide the winner. If McCain picks up Ohio, Flordia, PA, and all but one of the mid western states, all he has to do is win NH. In the same scenario, to stop McCains winning streak, Obama can win NH and lose the other above states, and he'll win. New Hampshire, will decide who goes on to lead the Free World.

Hispanic Voters, go out and vote!
New Hampshire, go out and vote!

I think the American people will decide this election, no matter what race, color, creed or sex they are.

Hope things are well.

Just got back in town and was glad to see your post.

One important note is that the hispanic vote is generally not republican, but Bush did have a special connection, Texas, and Jeb's wife helped to bridge across that demographic. They are not otherwise prone to vote for a repo.

In addition, it will be the women that decide in the GE, women voters are still a growing demographic which is the major reason for the shrinking repo party phenom.