The list of Native American tribal leaders who have endorsed Hillary is below. Twenty Two Crow, Creek and Or Sioux Anglo-Saxon-Ilocano-Cherokee Reporting Read More »
The main stream media, political pundits, and Democratic Party elites seem comfortable with the assumption that presumptive nominee Senator Hillary Clinton’s supporters will fall in line, should Senator Obama successfully steal the nomination.
They love to point out that they have seen similar situations in the past when supporters of different candidates, have fervently drawn lines in the sand only to have those lines blurred by the rising tide, and washed away, leaving in it’s wake a seamless uniform surface. The square peg supporters of one candidate fit, with a little pandering grease, easily into the round hole of the other.
They are quick to discount the recent exit polls that suggest, by high percentages, that Senator Clinton’s supporters will vote for Senator McCain or not vote, using past elections as the ‘proof’ to support their analysis. This, for them, is logical of course because they are living in the past, a past they’re comfortable of their knowledge about and which inflates their egos when bantering back and forth on panels. That square peg just has to fit the round hole, it just has to. If it doesn’t their opinions won’t be validated.
During the Oregon/Kentucky primary coverage on CNN a panel of pundits and Democratic elite responded, with this archaic way of thinking, in down playing results of the poll. “We’ve seen this kind of thing before”, was the consensus, “Those voters will get over it, and back the chosen nominee”. Only the Republican pundit on the panel differed by adding, and I’m paraphrasing, “Yes, but not in these numbers” noting a clear difference from the past.
Clinging to the past is why these pundits can’t see that the square peg in not going to fit in the round hole this time, no way, not ever again. This election year is vastly different with more new voters, with increased awareness by all voters from doing their own research on the issues and the candidates, and most importantly their unwavering commitment to not being led in their decision making process by the bias of the main stream media.
I’m reminded of the old story which illustrates you can lead a horse to water but you can’t make him drink, unless of course you force his head down and suck his ass. More today than at any other time before a large bloc of voters will not have their heads turned by empty rhetoric, and no amount of sucking up to them is going convince them to fall in line.
This large bloc of Democratic, Independent, and Republican cross over’s, the square pegs if you will, are squarely behind Senator Clinton as the best qualified to be the nominee, and to win the General Election against Senator McCain. They are squarely behind her on the issues, as well as her solutions for solving them. There squarely behind her in the fight to have all votes, including Michigan and Florida, count and in seating of those delegates as they stand at the convention in August. They do not believe that Senator Obama is as qualified as Senator Clinton or Senator McCain when it comes to the Presidency.
Rather than acknowledge this as the reason for not supporting Senator Obama for the nomination, or as a viable candidate in the fall, the pundits and main stream media choose to call it the rational of, racist, ignorant and uneducated, lower class people who should not be taken seriously. Taking this view is exactly why the square peg won’t fit in the round hole.
Squarely speaking, they refuse to take it seriously and that’s what separates the past from the present.
May 31st is the date set for the Rules and By Laws Committee to resolve the issue of Michigan and Florida. If they had been hoping Senator Hillary Clinton was going to yield to pressure and concede the nomination they should now know it’s foolish to hold on to that dream. She didn’t quit, so the issue hasn’t quietly gone away, and now they will publicly have to deal with.
It will be interesting to see how well they follow their own rules. Rules they have steadfastly held should not be changed. The Democratic National Committee striped both Florida and Michigan of all their delegates for holding early primaries. The key word here is ‘all’ and that violates the rules. The rule is 50% of the delegates not 100% as the penalty.
What of the popular vote which has been certified in both states? The rules do not allow for any penalty here, the popular vote of these two states does in fact count.
The rules do not mandate any candidate to remove their name from the ballot. Senator Obama removing his name from the ballot in Michigan was his choice, and his alone. This being the case, he should not receive any Michigan delegates.
In Florida both candidates were on the ballot, so under the rules the penalty should be a 50% loss of delegates. However, another penalty comes into play that calls for a penalty when any candidate campaigns in a penalized state. When Senator Obama allowed his political ads to cross over into the Florida market, which he could have avoided by paying more to limit his advertising, he subjected himself under the rules to be penalized. The penalty being a full loss of whatever delegates he would have earned.
Under the rules then, Senator Clinton would receive 50% of her Michigan delegates. Senator Obama would receive none. In Florida, again Senator Clinton would receive 50% of her delegates. Senator Obama again would receive none. The popular vote would count for both as it stands for each state.
So the question is, will the Rules and By laws Committee follow the rules? May 31st promises to be memorable day for this primary election season.
Polling results show that presumptive nominee Sentor Hillary Clinton has dramatically narrowed the gap between her and Senator Obama, who's one time 20 point lead is down to 5 points. With Oregon's primary tomorrow, Senator Clinton has an advantage with late deciders as shown in other states.
Oregon uses a mail in ballot system with voters also able to hand delivered their ballots. A review of the data on the Oregon Secretary of State Election Division site shows 29% of ballots have been returned as of Firday.
The percent of return is consistant with data on previous primaries for the past several years. Oregon voters are not rushed in to making important decisions. Voter turn out is expected to be high, and combined with Senator Clinton's edge with late deciders, the point gap is likely to close even further with an upset becoming a real possibilty.
"Super-delegates" will decide the nominee, how often have we heard that from the pundits, bloggers, and the main stream media? So often, I've had to double check my voter registration card to see if it was stamped "Super-delegates Will Decide". This power, of the Super-delegates, to pick the Democratic Party’s’ candidate to run against presumptive Republican candidate Senator John McCain, may well be a fact.
Other "facts"(?) being promoted heavily is that Senator Obama is the presumptive nominee, that Senator Clinton is out of the running, and that when the time comes her supporters will get in line, and the party will be united by, or before the General Election.
This scenario would make a great movie of the week if you haven’t read the book. The book has many more chapters that could not possibly be crunched into a two hour TV theatrical with a cast of tens of thousands. The book is much more interesting and factual, being written daily on the internet by a growing bloc of voters who proudly refer to themselves as “Super-Voters”.
Tired of the bias and misogyny rampant in the main stream media, tired of the pundits’ spin of the facts, tired of being called racist, these Super-Voters are networking with each other and fast becoming a powerful voting bloc. A bloc that believes their votes, and all votes are important (MI/FL), and should be cast for the best qualified for the job. For them the path is clear, they will not going quietly into the night.
The pundits, bloggers, and the main stream media may choose to continue to reject the notion of a new and powerful voting bloc out of hand. In doing so they should consider that ignoring the importance of such a grass-roots phenomenon could be very costly in the fall.
Between now and the General Election these Super-Voters will continue to organize, gather the facts independently, network with each other, and by doing so will become a formidable new group of voters.